Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-29 3.887441 4.164518 4.460337 4.801166 5.184911 5.605858 6.105634
2025-07-06 3.400832 3.776832 4.202424 4.725442 5.358892 6.112131 7.092761
2025-07-13 3.116934 3.545204 4.049483 4.697928 5.526471 6.574881 8.046526
2025-07-20 2.962007 3.435740 4.012212 4.782891 5.815554 7.199564 9.289996
2025-07-27 2.846175 3.356585 3.995425 4.879135 6.115277 7.863864 10.702956
2025-08-03 2.714297 3.242900 3.919410 4.881405 6.275914 8.341967 11.921537
2025-08-10 2.568988 3.099752 3.790725 4.794646 6.291851 8.595717 12.814396
2025-08-17 2.429573 2.954782 3.647984 4.672970 6.238046 8.725099 13.506186
2025-08-24 2.324713 2.849363 3.551329 4.607711 6.259949 8.974989 14.475017
2025-08-31 2.265502 2.801730 3.530569 4.650225 6.452231 9.536905 16.214888
2025-09-07 2.202310 2.744694 3.492056 4.661181 6.591654 10.022750 17.939491
2025-09-14 2.097458 2.624708 3.356510 4.512474 6.447952 9.960172 18.364733
2025-09-21 2.011685 2.530456 3.257180 4.419540 6.401168 10.096964 19.388371
2025-09-28 1.938143 2.450710 3.175495 4.349602 6.388892 10.303285 20.686789
2025-10-05 1.882474 2.393950 3.124664 4.325193 6.454439 10.678446 22.622083
2025-10-12 1.856499 2.378532 3.134424 4.399711 6.707772 11.499282 26.362170
2025-10-19 1.834504 2.367609 3.149874 4.484026 6.988532 12.442289 31.210627
2025-10-26 1.794352 2.328051 3.118787 4.486013 7.108080 13.030619 35.211014
2025-11-02 1.738843 2.263550 3.045724 4.410014 7.062738 13.200267 37.563364
2025-11-09 1.679573 2.191536 2.958014 4.303257 6.944888 13.164321 38.954938
2025-11-16 1.634417 2.139402 2.899873 4.245917 6.925169 13.388167 41.929447
2025-11-23 1.612127 2.121062 2.894776 4.283278 7.109465 14.211245 49.295317
2025-11-30 1.585164 2.094600 2.875299 4.292903 7.234525 14.898669 57.021630